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Monthly Archives: June 2011

  • It's Good to Make New Friends

    Welcome to Hawk’s Scan Sentry Report. This is Sunday night with stock recommendations from Jan Arps' Scan Sentry Toolkit for the week beginning June 27.

    This week I would like to welcome all of our new friends who use the Ninja Trader platform as well as the kind people who work for that company. We are proud to announce that we now offer some of our best selling indicators for the Ninja Trader7 platform. These include our suite of Radar Tools and some of our popular Trender tools including…

    Radar 1 - Arps Fear/Greed Indicator,

    Radar 2 -Arps Price Acceleration Oscillator,

    Radar 3 – Arps Trend Index,

    Arps Trender, and the

    Arps Triple Trender.

    Consequently, I am presenting this week’s stock picks with all of these indicators (and others as well) applied to the charts below so that, in case you are a ninja trader unfamiliar with the Arps tools, you may see them in action. Don’t forget to go to our website at janarps.com and download our free Universal Swing Tool now available for NinjaTrader-7 as well as for eSignal-11 and TradeStation-9.

    And now for the stock recommendations….

    Longs......... Shorts

    CBOU             MDP

    FTNT              SYA

    ........................IN

    ........................CHTR

    ........................TTMI

    May the trend be with you,

    Hawk

  • Technical Analysis on Father's Day

    Welcome to Hawk’s Scan Sentry Report. This  is Sunday night with stock recommendations for the week beginning June 20.

    It’s Father’s day, and I would like to take a few minutes to honor my father, Jan Arps. My dad has been studying and trading the markets for over 60 years now. He began many decades ago at his father’s side helping to draw charts by hand and calculating moving averages with his slide rule. His love for the markets and for technical analysis has stayed with him his entire life and I consider myself fortunate to be able to work with him and profit from his knowledge and experience. Throughout his career he has developed many well known technical analysis indicators and garnered much respect for them from his peers. He has not only earned myriad awards for his efforts, but his tools have been built into many of today’s trading applications including the Bloomberg platform.

                But it is not ‘Indicator Day’, it’s Father’s Day. I am lucky,  my dad has been patient and encouraging  toward me my entire life; and year after year he has been generous in passing on his trove of knowledge regarding technical analysis and indicator development. I’m sending out my thanks to you, Dad, for all your efforts toward helping me get this far in this world…

                So, dear reader, whatever your relationship is with your father, or with your children, I offer my best wishes for good relationships within your family, and good health for you and your loved ones. Do not let the markets keep you too far away from them. Prioritize what is important; and, hopefully, we can leave something good for the generations following us.

    And now for the stock recommendations….

    Longs              Shorts

    AGN                MON

    CALP              SYNA

    ELS                 CF

    May the trend be with you,

    Hawk

    AGN 

     

    CALP 

    MON 

     

    CF 

     

  • How Low Can You Go?

    Welcome to Hawk's Scan Sentry Report. This is Sunday night June 12th with stock picks for early this week.

    In last week's post we used the Arps Triple Trender to confirm the general market downturn, which turned out to be spot-on. The S&P futures contract dropped another 2.2% throughout the past week to close at 1263.75. In last week's post we also mentioned that 1245 could be the next significant level of resistance for the S&P; and we still believe that to be the case. Not only are the technical indicators signaling further downward pressure on the indexes, but fundamental factors seem to be suggesting a similar story. With the coming conclusion of the fed's loose money policies, which have flooded the markets with the cash which has fueled the bullish trend we have been seeing for several years, it seems like the path of least resistance for American stocks is, at this time, probably downward.

    Of course, the market does not care about our conclusions or speculations. She couldn't care less what you or I think, or how we trade. We have to learn to read the market objectively in real time, and not project our preconceptions upon it. Only in that way can we have the possibility of maintaining a lasting and fruitful relationship with these modern financial markets. Therefor, this week we are once again proposing trade possibilities for both long and short positions. Ironically, our long recommendations last week did better than our short ones, with a long VRUS position returning 11.7%. in a bearish market.

    So, this week I ran several different tools from Jan Arps' extensive library of indicators through the TradeStation scanner and found the following trade ideas. Remember, although stock selection is important, sound money management is the most important key to long term success in these financial markets.

    Here are the picks…

    (Longs) (Shorts)

    ZAGG                 PCLN

    GFW                   OFC

    VHI                    CX

    EQT                   FSR

    May the trend be with you,

    Hawk

  • Thank You Jan Arps

    Welcome to Hawk's Scan Sentry Report. This is Sunday night June 5th with stock picks for early this week.

    I want to thank Jan for doing an excellent job writing the blog last week. He wrote a clear explanation of how the flag pattern works and suggested 3 potential buys and 3 potential sell opportunities. As the S&P dropped 2.6% last week, Jan's picks provided a combined return of 4.18%... That is 60% better than simply shorting the S&P index last week. It is a real treat for us to reap his experience of over 50 years trading the markets.

    So, with the drop in the American stock market last week, I thought it would be interesting to to look at the TTB Triple Trender applied to all of the stocks in the S&P index in order to see what the market in general looks like. When I sort on the 'Triple Trender Score' column, and then look at how many stocks have closed below all three Trender' lines versus how many are above all three Trender lines, it becomes apparent that the bears have taken control of the Standard and Poor's 500 stock index. Over 260 stocks out of 500 closed below all three Trender lines last Friday as opposed to only 70 which closed above all three Trender lines. And when you apply the Triple Trender to a daily chart of the S&P futures contract you see that, as of Thursday, the the TT5 Triple Trender plots all three Trender lines above the price.... which is a relatively bearish formation. If the index breaks below support at around 1290 we could potentially see a drop in the index down to somewhere around 1245.

    So, I ran the TTB TRIPLE TRENDER through the TradeStation scanner to look for trade set-ups and found the following recommendations  for this week. Remember, although stock selection is important, sound money management is the most important key to long term success in these financial markets.

    Here are the picks…

    (Longs) (Shorts)

    FRX                BSX

    VRUS             IFF

    BAP                FAST

    May the trend be with you,

    Hawk

4 Item(s)

Futures and forex trading contains substantial risk and is not for every investor. An investor could potentially lose all or more than the initial investment. Risk capital is money that can be lost without jeopardizing ones’ financial security or life style. Only risk capital should be used for trading and only those with sufficient risk capital should consider trading. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Full Risk Disclosure

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